AINN - (recommended to subscribers on 6/01/03 at $3.35)
BOUGHT
at $3.35 SOLD
at $7.80
On April 17th Applied Innovation Inc., a
provider of network management
solutions for telecommunications service providers, reported first
quarter
2003 revenue of $5.6 million. Net loss was $2.0 million or 13 cents per
share. Revenue was $9.5 million in the 2002 first quarter. The
reduction
in revenue was significant but was largely due to timing changes in
orders
from the company's largest international customer. In 2002 the customer
placed the majority of it's orders in the first quarter. Since then,
the
customer has spread it's orders more evenly throughout the year which
has
resulted in a decrease of $2.6 million in revenue in the 2003 first
quarter,
so the revenue decline in the first quarter is not as bad as it looks.
The company said it expects a healthy sales rebound in the second
quarter
as orders picked up late in the first quarter as well as pent up demand
among it's largest domestic customers. The company has $24
million
in cash and investments which comes out to $1.60 per share. Book value
is $2.50 per share. The company has less than $1 million in debt and
the
stock trades at approximately 1.25x sales.
Looking at the
long-term chart above you
can see that AINN has bounced off the low $2 range twice. During the
last
10 months the stock has traded in a rather narrow trading range. This
range
has gotten smaller with each passing month. This chart pattern is
likely
to resolve to the upside considering that the stock trades just a
little
over book value. Also, the stock had a similar trading pattern after it
made it's low in 1998.
1/14/04 -
SOLD AT $7.80 FOR A GAIN OF 133%.
Next
Closed Pick
Back to Closed
Positions List
|