NLS - (recommended to subscribers
on 11/30/03)
BOUGHT
at $13.50 SOLD
at $19.45
On October 28th Nautilus Group Inc, a provider of fitness equipment
that
sells under the names of Nautilus, Schwin, Bowflex and Stairmaster,
reported
3rd quarter 2003 revenue of $116 million which was down from the $153
million
reported in the 3rd quarter of 2002. Net income was $6.6 million or 20
cents per share. Though revenue was down year over year it was up 16%
sequentially.
It appears as if revenue levels have stabilized after dropping off
earlier
in the year. Nautilus initiated cost cutting measures during the
quarter
including head count reductions. The company is also working to broaden
it's retail distribution channels. In September 2003 they announced
that
their products will be offered through Amazon.com. Nautilus expects 4th
quarter revenue of $104-$124 million with earnings of 24-34 cents a
share.
For the full year 2003 the company expects revenue of $450-$470 million
and earnings of $1.00-$1.10. With a current market cap of $464 million
the stock trades at 1x sales. Nautilus has $63.8 million in cash and
cash
equivalents or $1.96 per share. Book value is $5.25 per share and the
company
carries no debt.
After the
October 28th earnings report
the stock gapped higher and clearly broke it's 18 month downtrend line.
Since then the stock has pulled back to it's approximate breakout
point.
After pulling back the stock has traded between $13.35 and $14.48 over
the last 2 weeks. Buy on a break above $14.50. Make sure that the stock
is trading above $14.50 and it has traded at least 75,000 shares before
you buy. This way the buy price won't be triggered by a few small
trades
early in the morning. If it doesn't break $14.50 then buy if it pulls
back
to the lower end of the recent trading range at around $13.50.
$13.50 BUY PRICE TRIGGERED 12/04/03.
11/04/04 -
SOLD AT $19.45 FOR A GAIN OF 44%.
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