NTCT -
(recommended to subscribers on 3/30/03 at $3.00)
On
January 15th NetScout Systems, Inc., a provider of network performance
management solutions, reported 3rd quarter revenue of $18.2 million
vs.
$21.5 million for the same quarter of the prior year. However,
revenue
was up sequentially from the 2nd quarter's $17.9 million. Net
loss
for the 3rd quarter was $328,000 or 1 cent a share. Pro forma net
income was $10,000 or 0 cents per share. For the fiscal 4th
quarter
NTCT expects revenues of $18-19 million and a GAAP loss of 1-2 cents
and
a pro forma loss between 0 and 1 cent per share. NTCT has cash and
securities
of $70.3 million or $2.34 a share. Book value is $2.75 per share.
The company carries no debt and the stock trades at approximately 1x
sales.
Looking at the chart above
you can see that the stock found support around the 3 dollar mark four
other times over the last 2 years. In August 2002 it actually fell as
low
as $2.50 but didn't stay there for long due to NetScout's strong
financials.
Update
7/01/03 - Recommend selling at the open on 7/02/03.
Sold at $5.02 for a gain of 67%.
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