SMTL -
(recommended to subscribers on 7/06/03 at $5.13)
On
April 22nd Semitool Inc., a provider of semiconductor equipment,
reported
fiscal 2003 2nd quarter revenue of $35.6 million which was up 13.7%
from
the fiscal 2002 2nd quarter. Revenue was also up 17.6% sequentially.
Net
loss was $2.5 million or 9 cents per share which was an improvement
from
the fiscal 2002 2nd quarter loss of $4.1 million. Semitool has $27.1
million
in cash and investments which comes out to 95 cents per share. The
company
is also expecting an $11 million tax refund during the second half of
fiscal
2003. Book value is $3.87 per share. For the 3rd quarter of fiscal 2003
Semitool expects revenue of $28 - $30 million and a net loss between
$1.4
and $2.0 million or 5 - 7 cents per share. The company has $2.7 million
of debt which is just a tiny fraction of it's cash levels. SMTL
trades
just over 1x sales.
On the bottom of the
weekly chart below there
is a Relative Strength Index (RSI). In April 2003 SMTL put in a lower
low
than in October 2002. However the RSI was actually higher in April than
it was in October 2002. This is a bullish technical divergence. Soon
after
this divergence the stock went from $4 to $6 and has since given back
about
half those gains. The stock currently trades about $1.20 above it's 52
week low and about $1.25 above it's book value.
UPDATE
8/28/03 - Recommend selling on Friday 8/29/03.
At the current price of $9 you would get a return of 75% in less than 2
months.
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